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Falling Rents Aid Homeowners in Mortgage Trouble

Monday, December 7, 2009


This is just what we need. The Los Angeles Times is telling tenants that rents are falling. I think there is a concern that many tenants are leaving the area because of a loss of jobs and income. I don't know what you are experiencing as an investment property owner, but it looks like the investment property market is dealing with increased vacancy and declining rents. My clients are showing a reluctance to raise rents and a willingness to work with tenants as they struggle with their cash flow. If you ever want to hear some constructive solutions on how to keep your units full, feel free to call my property manager, Candy Livesey, at (562) 236-0093. If nothing else, she’s a mind to bounce ideas off of. I wish you the best of luck as you navigate this challenge!

-Jim

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By Alejandro Lazo
November 29, 2009

Joyce Ann Cato is out of work and about to lose her San Bernardino home to foreclosure.

The 62-year-old special-education teacher filed for bankruptcy protection last April in a bid to keep her house, which is worth less than what she owes on a mortgage she can't afford anymore. As Cato searches for another job, she and her daughter, Minjoy, have landed in a Pomona house that they rent for $1,795 a month, substantially less than the old mortgage payment but still a hefty chunk of the mother's $2,500 monthly income.

"Well, it is reasonable because I don't have to pay the house now," Cato said. "I am able to pay that."

Joyce Ann Cato is one of the many housing-bust refugees finding haven in Southern California's weak rental market. Typically, rents and home prices head in opposite directions. But the glut of foreclosures that has driven home prices to some of their cheapest levels in years is also working in tandem with the ailing economy to send rents falling across the region.

For those like Cato who have emerged on the other side of the housing market's wreckage -- their equity gone, credit shattered and pride bruised -- this increase in affordability is a thin silver lining.

Southern California rents peaked at $1,501 in the third quarter of 2008 after 12 years of consecutive gains. Since then, rents have fallen 4.9%, to an average of $1,427 in the third quarter of this year, according to a survey of larger apartment complexes by property research firm RealFacts. The drop came as the occupancy rate of the buildings ticked down 0.8% to 93.7%. The data don't include homes converted into rental units or smaller apartment buildings.

Some lenders and policy experts are looking at the rental market as a tool to keep more foreclosures off the market.

Mortgage titan Fannie Mae recently announced a program that would allow homeowners who are foreclosed upon to rent back their properties at market rates. Another proposal being considered by the Obama administration would encourage banks to sell distressed properties to investors who would agree to rent the home to the previous owner.

The decline in prices marks a significant reversal from the boom years, when rents increased as people flooded into the Los Angeles area, attracted by a diverse economy. Now many of the region's key industries -- construction, trade, manufacturing, tourism and entertainment -- are reeling. Los Angeles County's unemployment rate soared to 12.8% last month, up from a revised 12.6% in September.

Job losses and competition from foreclosed homes have made concessions by large landlords common. Thomas Shelton, president of Western National Property Management in Irvine, said he was offering about a month of free rent for every 12-month lease signed. In some of the hardest-hit areas, particularly the Inland Empire, he said, he is competing with investors who are renting out condominiums and homes, undercutting market rates.

Timothy Suber, a real estate agent and investor, owns and rents out mostly two-bedroom condominiums in Riverside County's Lake Elsinore area. Though prices dropped enough in 2007 to get him back into the buying game after sitting out the boom, Suber said he has not survived the bust unscathed.

He has dropped his monthly rental rates by an average of $150 since 2007 to attract new tenants and keep old ones. Potential tenants who can secure a loan from a bank -- those with steady income and good credit -- are shunning the rental market to buy, he said, leaving him to deal with the rest.

"They have foreclosures, bankruptcies; they have questionable credit," he said. "That is kind of your captive market."

This is good news for renters such as Thomas DeLong, 40, who said he lost five homes to foreclosure, including investment properties, an inheritance and the house he lived in with his girlfriend.

DeLong, who works the night shift for United Parcel Service at Ontario International Airport and plays bass guitar in a Linkin Park- inspired band called the Almighty Grind, said renting was a relief after years of worry and a financial juggling act that came crashing down all around him.

He walked away from the mortgage on his final home in September and began renting a house for about $1,400 a month, with utilities, in the high-desert area of Perris.

"You are trying to pay all these people, and unfortunately, you have to go through a process of elimination, and even though we did that, we still lost everything," DeLong said.

Although the drop-off in rents is a boon for some, it's also a grim indicator, underscoring just how severely the recession has struck Southern California households. The low rents are likely to continue if lenders step up their repossession efforts.

"The fact that rents are coming down is of course favorable to those who need to rent," said Stuart Gabriel, director of UCLA's Ziman Center for Real Estate. "But it is an artifact of larger economic weakness, and that larger economic weakness is not a good thing."

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To read the rest of this article, “Falling Rents Aid Homeowners in Mortgage Trouble,” at it’s original source, the Los Angeles Times, click here.

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Fannie, Freddie Woes Hurt Apartments

Monday, November 30, 2009


I found this article and thought you’d find it interesting. It looks like Fannie and Freddie are still struggling, and now it's affecting the investment property market.

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By NICK TIMIRAOS
The deteriorating commercial real-estate market is hitting Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the housing-finance giants that were taken over by the U.S. last year after billions of dollars in losses on residential real estate.

The firms, which together have taken more than $110 billion in capital infusions from the Treasury, stepped up their lending for apartment buildings as the commercial real-estate market peaked, and they are now facing rapidly rising loan losses.

Fannie, which has been more active than Freddie, faces the biggest problems. Its serious delinquency rate, or loans that were 60 days or more past due, stood at 0.62% at the end of September, up from 0.16% a year ago. One troubling sign: one-quarter of the $180 billion of apartment-building loans on Fannie’s books were originated near the top of the market in 2007 and those loans account for nearly half of all its commercial-loan delinquencies.

Fannie increased to $1.2 billion its reserves for losses on multifamily loans at the end of September, up from $104 million at the end of 2008. In a statement, Fannie Mae said market fundamentals “will remain under pressure in the near term” and that the company is taking steps “to mitigate risks associated with weak rental demand.”

The losses from Fannie’s and Freddie’s $300 billion in apartment-building loans will be a fraction of their losses on single-family homes, where the two firms back $5 trillion of loans. But the bigger impact could be on the market for apartment buildings. The firms were responsible for 84% of all multifamily lending last year, up from 34% of the market in 2006, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency.

Fannie and Freddie have taken lumps from some financings, including a $9 billion loan in 2007 for the buyout of Archstone Smith.

A report published earlier this year by Harvard University’s Joint Center for Housing Studies warned that without Fannie’s and Freddie’s continued purchases, “apartment transactions could come to a near standstill” and that could spur a further unraveling where even “cash-flow-positive projects may not be able to get refinanced and will be pushed towards default.”

Fannie and Freddie say they were conservative in underwriting of apartment-building loans. For example, 97% of Freddie-backed apartment properties are still worth more than the value of the underlying loans. “We were careful about our credit, but with the markets deteriorating, everybody will be impacted negatively in some form or another,” said Freddie spokeswoman Patti Boerger.

But, in recent years, critics say that the firms became more aggressive. Some deals that they financed wouldn’t have occurred without their participation. “By 2007, Fannie basically put more gas on the fire,” says Mike Kelly, president of Caldera Asset Management, a consulting firm for distressed multifamily properties.

For example, Fannie and Freddie together lent $9 billion to finance the buyout of apartment operator Archstone-Smith by Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. and Tishman Speyer Properties. The original plan—to carve up the portfolio and flip assets—didn’t pan out as real-estate values softened.

“There was no policy justification to . . . provide billions of dollars of financing for a deal that in retrospect tested the limits of aggressiveness in financing,” says Sam Chandan, president of Real Estate Econometrics, a research firm.

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To read the rest of this article, “Fannie, Freddie Woes Hurt Apartments,” at it’s original source, The Wall Street Journal, click here.

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Hotel Defaults, Foreclosures Rise in California

Monday, November 23, 2009

More California hotels are being pushed into foreclosure as tourists and businesses alike scale back their travel plans and owners are unable to pay their mortgages.

This article is a month old, but it reveals something interesting. First the single family home market defaulted as a result of the subprime mortgage fiasco, then came talk of commercial real estate going sour, and now the experts are starting to grow concerned about hotels. Put in perspective, the income property market (apartments) looks like a pillar of stability!

-Jim

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E. Scott Reckard and Hugo Martin

Statewide, more than 300 hotels were in foreclosure or default on their loans as of Sept. 30 — nearly fivefold increase since the start of the year, according to an industry report released Tuesday.

The list of troubled properties includes the St. Regis Monarch Beach in Dana Point, the downtown Los Angeles Marriott, the Sheraton Universal and the W hotel in San Diego.

Most struggling hotels remain open, but industry experts believe many properties are likely to be closed down in the months ahead, even if they are not in foreclosure, because they are losing so much money. The owners of the renowned Quail Lodge Resort and Golf Club in Carmel, for example, plan to close the hotel Nov. 16.

"I have never seen so many lenders contemplating mothballing properties," said Jim Butler, a hotel lawyer and chairman of the global hospitality group for Jeffer, Mangels, Butler & Marmaro. "It can and it will get worse for the hotel industry."

The problem is not unique to California, but the effect is being felt especially hard here because of tourism's importance to the state.

In Southern California alone, there were at least 140 hotels in default or foreclosure in September, including 55 hotels in the Inland Empire, 33 in Los Angeles County and 30 in San Diego County, according to the report by Atlas Hospitality Group. Statewide, 260 hotels were in default on their loans and 47 had been taken over by their lenders in foreclosure, the Atlas report said.

The industry's woes are compounded by the sour commercial real estate market, which has left many resort operators owing more than their properties are worth. Even as they struggle to make payroll, scores of resorts and inns have given up on paying their mortgages, fueling the skyrocketing level of defaults.

"It's a prolonged downturn, and it will be a long time before we get out of it," said hotel broker Alan X. Reay of Atlas Hospitality, who tracks foreclosures and defaults in the state.

Part of the problem is that unlike home loans, mortgages on larger hotels typically are supposed to be repaid in full after five to 10 years. Many of them are coming due now. But like their residential counterparts, many hotel owners refinanced their places at the top of the real estate market, often taking equity out of their properties. So the loans are ballooning at just the time when there are few guests at the hotels, and the properties are worth little.

"We expect this number to rise dramatically by the end of the year and into 2010, because we're seeing so many hotels operating under forbearance," Reay said.

Industry leaders blame the slump on several factors, including loose lending and irrational exuberance during the boom, an increase in new hotel openings because of the easy money, and a dramatic drop in business travel.

Joseph McInerney, chief executive of the American Hotel and Lodging Assn., tried to put a positive spin on the news, saying, "I think we've bottomed out."

But a leading hotel consulting firm, Smith Travel Research, recently issued a report that predicted no significant improvement for the hotel industry until 2011 at the earliest.

"It's going to be a lot worse than it is now," said Bobby Bowers, senior vice president of Smith Travel Research.

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To read the rest of “Hotel Defaults, Foreclosures Rise in California” at it’s original source at the Los Angeles Times, click here.

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Where Have All the Loans Gone? - Part 2 of 2

Monday, October 12, 2009

Interview with Joe Mercado of First Pacific Financial
(866) 405-6500 or (310) 664-6705
Click here to email Joe




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The Quest for a Termite-Free Apartment Building

Monday, October 5, 2009

Interview with Bob Cooper of Brothers Termite
(562) 927-5541 or (562) 883-0840
Click here to email Bob



(If you are having trouble viewing the above video, click here.)


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Where Have All The Loans Gone? - Part 1

Monday, September 28, 2009

Interview with Joe Mercado of First Pacific Financial
(866) 405-6500 or (310) 664-6705
Click here to email Joe




(If you are having trouble viewing the above video, click here.)

**********

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Commercial Real Estate Lurks as Next Potential Mortgage Crisis

Friday, September 11, 2009

by Lingling Wei and Peter Grant
Monday, August 31, 2009 / The Wall Street Journal


This may be the second shoe to drop. It’s amazing how the single family market has been so negatively impacted and now the commercial market is facing the same peril. Interestingly enough, the residential income or apartment market remains intact. Rents are stable and foreclosures on apartment buildings are practically non existent (in southern California). Unfortunately this negative news about commercial real estate impacts how people view the apartment market. I hope you find this article informative. Enjoy!

Jim
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Federal Reserve and Treasury officials are scrambling to prevent the commercial-real-estate sector from delivering a roundhouse punch to the U.S. economy just as it struggles to get up off the mat.

Their efforts could be undermined by a surge in foreclosures of commercial property carrying mortgages that were packaged and sold by Wall Street as bonds. Similar mortgage-backed securities created out of home loans played a big role in undoing that sector and triggering the global economic recession. Now the $700 billion of commercial-mortgage-backed securities outstanding are being tested for the first time by a massive downturn, and the outcome so far hasn't been pretty.

The CMBS sector is suffering two kinds of pain, which, according to credit rater Realpoint LLC, sent its delinquency rate to 3.14% in July, more than six times the level a year earlier. One is simply the result of bad underwriting. In the era of looser credit, Wall Street's CMBS machine lent owners money on the assumption that occupancy and rents of their office buildings, hotels, stores or other commercial property would keep rising. In fact, the opposite has happened. The result is that a growing number of properties aren't generating enough cash to make principal and interest payments.

The other kind of hurt is coming from the inability of property owners to refinance loans bundled into CMBS when these loans mature. By the end of 2012, some $153 billion in loans that make up CMBS are coming due, and close to $100 billion of that will face difficulty getting refinanced, according to Deutsche Bank. Even though the cash flows of these properties are enough to pay interest and principal on the debt, their values have fallen so far that borrowers won't be able to extend existing mortgages or replace them with new debt. That means losses not only to the property owners but also to those who bought CMBS — including hedge funds, pension funds, mutual funds and other financial institutions — thus exacerbating the economic downturn.

A typical CMBS is stuffed with mortgages on a diverse group of properties, often fewer than 100, with loans ranging from a couple of million dollars to more than $100 million. A CMBS servicer, usually a big financial institution like Wachovia and Wells Fargo, collects monthly payments from the borrowers and passes the money on to the institutional investors that buy the securities.

CMBS, of course, aren't the only kind of commercial-real-estate debt suffering higher defaults. Banks hold $1.7 trillion of commercial mortgages and construction loans, and delinquencies on this debt already have played a role in the increase in bank failures this year.

But banks' losses from commercial mortgages have the potential to mount sharply, and the high foreclosure rate in the CMBS market could play a role in this. Until now, banks have been able to keep a lid on commercial-real-estate losses by extending debt when it has matured as long as the underlying properties are generating enough cash to pay debt service. Banks have had a strong incentive to refinance because relaxed accounting standards have enabled them to avoid marking the value of the loans down.

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To read the rest of “Commercial Real Estate Lurks as Next Potential Mortgage Crisis” at it’s original source on Yahoo Finance, click here.

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Renters Seek Savings in Bigger Apartments

Friday, August 21, 2009

I found this article from Jon Lanser of the Orange County Register. It has some interesting data on the current status of the apartment renter.

Jim
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by Jon Lansner

Online apartment listing service Rent.com has produced a “fascinating apartment-shopping white paper” (HERE) that shows the recent evolution of the rental market through the online habits of apartment seekers. Roommates are “in” as renters seek to share housing costs in a harsh economy. Bottom line, the report concludes, “It appears renters are seeking larger apartments and homes for rent in order to accommodate consolidations in households.”

Highlights of the study:

  • Rent.com figures show top online search terms in 2007 and 2008 for rental topics were “houses for rent,” “apartments,” “homes for rent,” “apartment,” and “for rent apartments.” Searches for “houses for rent” grew by 310% year-over-year in terms of search share vs. declines for the other three.

  • Google Trends — a tool from the popular search engine — show that searches on “houses for rent” surpassed “apartments for rent” in 2008 for the first time in four years.
  • Rent.com figures show that 2007’s average number of bedrooms searched for ran on a clear downward trend throughout the year. Throughout 2008, that trend reversed.
  • In 2008, average minimum and maximum rent amount that renters searched for increased in 2008, surpassing 2007 levels mid-year.
  • Rent.com’s Christina Aragon writes: “There are at least two possible interpretations of the data … (1) renters are trading up or (2) renters are doubling up. The experience of our multifamily customers lends support to the ‘doubling up’ theory.”
  • Rent.com figures show that the share that the “bad credit” keywords held of the top 1,000 apartment-related keywords increased nearly four-fold in the year ended in January 2009. (What’s a “bad credit” keywords? “no credit check apartments” or “bad credit apartments,” for example!)
  • Google Trends math shows that the relative search volume for “bad credit apartments” nearly doubled from December 2007 to August 2008.
Orange County’s recent rent trends, from RealFacts’ survey of large complexes, also shows shoppers favoring larger apartments — favor, used loosely, as on average rents fell at a 2.9% annual rate in the year ended in Q1 2009! So, smallest declines were for larger units. . .
  • Studio: -6.7%
  • Jr. 1 bedroom: -3.5%
  • 1 bedroom / 1 bath: -3.2%
  • 2 bedroom / 1 bath: -1.5%
  • 2 bedroom / 2 bath: -2.8%
  • 2 bedroom townhome: -2.5%
  • 3 bedroom / 2 bath: -2.9%
  • 3 bedroom townhome: -3.7%
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Thinking of Doing a 1031 Exchange? Things You Need To Know From a 1031 Expert.

Tuesday, August 11, 2009

Interview with Earl Salter of Pacific Financial Exchange
(562) 863-1968 or (800) 752-9691
Click here to email Earl / pacificfinancialexchange.com



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Vacancies Give Renters Room to Negotiate

Wednesday, July 29, 2009

L.A. County's vacancy rate rose to 5.3% in the first quarter. As more Southland apartments go empty, property owners are more willing to negotiate lease details.
By Lauren Beale

I thought you might find this interesting. Enjoy!

Jim

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On a recent bright afternoon in Redondo Beach, rent signs baked in the sun outside half the small stucco apartment buildings along the stretch of Beryl Street between Flagler and Harkness lanes.

"I've never seen it this saturated with rentals," said property manager Vickie Callahan, who owns a three-unit and a four-unit building in the area. "It's very scary."

It's a scene playing out across the Southland. As the struggling economy and high unemployment take their toll, vacancies are rising, rents are falling and property owners are increasingly willing to negotiate lease details.

"It's definitely a renter's market," said Delores Conway, director of the Casden Real Estate Economics Forecast at the USC Lusk Center for Real Estate.

The last time vacancy rates were this high in Los Angeles County was in the early 1990s, when they hit 5%.


The rate climbed to 5.3% in the first quarter from 3.8% in the first quarter of 2008, said Victor Calanog, director of research for Reis Inc., a real estate research company in New York that tracks 90% of buildings countywide with 15 or more units -- more than 750,000 apartments. In contrast, vacancies had been hovering between 2% and 3% for the last decade.

"Households are choosing to double up, triple up," Calanog said, and the consolidation has left rentals standing empty.

Not only are adult children moving back to live with parents, but "we're seeing the reverse, parents living with adult children," USC's Conway said. "To bring in income, they'll rent out the mother's house."

Changes in renter behavior were the subject of a Rent.com white paper released in late June. Users of the website are increasingly using the search term "roommates" and looking for two-bedroom units instead of one to share the expenses, Rent.com President Peggy Abkemeier said. The listing service also found that users are spending more time searching online for apartments and are more interested in basic amenities than luxuries.

The first quarter saw the largest rent decline in a decade for Los Angeles County, Reis' Calanog said. Effective rents, those that take concessions into account, fell 1.7% in the first quarter of this year from the fourth quarter of 2008, while asking rents dropped 1%.

Although rental houses aren't tracked the way apartment buildings are, area landlords are resetting rents in response to the leaner market.

Laguna Beach-based rental owner and manager Steve Dexter has had to lower the prices on several of his six rental houses to keep them occupied. He recently dropped the rent $255 a month -- to $1,195 from $1,450 -- on a 1,450-square-foot, four-bedroom, two-bathroom home in San Bernardino.

"In the Riverside-San Bernardino area we're seeing $100 to $150 rent drops from $1,200 to $1,400 a month in some pretty good neighborhoods," he said.

It's a delicate dance. Dexter said he had cut the rent for people he liked, but he was inclined to reject potential tenants who were too aggressive.

"I don't want them," he said, "if they start asking for giveaways upfront."

Potential tenants who do want to negotiate might spend some time getting to know the landlord first.

For their part, some landlords are playing the "concession game" by adjusting the length of the lease to keep units occupied, Calanog said. "They'd rather have income for three to six months than nothing."

Or they'll have a tenant lock in for two years in case rents fall further, he said, in "a flight to certainty."

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To read the rest of this article at its original source, the Los Angeles Times, click here or copy and paste the following text into your web browser:
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Carpet/Flooring Tips to Help You Save Money In Your Units

Thursday, July 23, 2009

Interview with Bob Anderson of Rosso's Karpet Korner
(562) 943-3030 / (714) 521-4592




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